Round of 16
Portugal 0 - 1 Spain
Spain advance
Pre-match Briefing
Match outlook
Spain has the edge
52% model edge before kickoff.
An Iberian rivalry ignites the Round of 16 as Spain's possession game meets Portugal's counter-punching in a fixture the model sees tilted but tight - Spain holds a 52% win probability and a projected 1.6 to 1.0 expected-goal edge.
Game script
The model points to a tighter game where the first goal may reshape everything.
Key battle
Spain's attacking rhythm against Portugal's defensive shape is the matchup to watch.
What to watch
Watch the opening 20 minutes: pressing, tempo, and early shots should tell us who is settling faster.
Stars to watch
Portugal
Spain
Lineups are confirmed closer to kickoff; this list highlights notable players fans may be watching.
Who wins?
Make your pick after reading the preview.
Predictions are locked — this match has started.
Streaming guide
How to watch Portugal vs Spain
Check official viewing options before Portugal vs Spain. Availability can vary by country and broadcaster.
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