Group Stage

England 4 - 2 Croatia

England advance

Wednesday, June 17 · 4:00 PM GMT-4

Pre-match Briefing

Match outlook

England has the edge

56% model edge before kickoff.

Expected score: 1-0

Our model has England as favourites: England 56%, draw 24%, Croatia 20% win probability. Expected goals 1.7-0.9, with a most likely 1-0 scoreline. Model's pick: England.

Game script

The model points to a tighter game where the first goal may reshape everything.

Key battle

England's attacking rhythm against Croatia's defensive shape is the matchup to watch.

What to watch

Watch the opening 20 minutes: pressing, tempo, and early shots should tell us who is settling faster.

Stars to watch

England

Harry KaneJude BellinghamBukayo Saka

Croatia

Luka ModricJosko GvardiolMateo Kovacic

Lineups are confirmed closer to kickoff; this list highlights notable players fans may be watching.

Who wins?

Make your pick after reading the preview.

Model probability

Expected goals: 1.7 – 0.9Most likely score (AI predicted): 1–0

Predictions are locked — this match has started.

More pre-match notes

Unlock the full match preview, tactical notes, and value pick — go Pro.

Disclaimer

The WC26 Live Pick'em is a free-to-play game for entertainment only. Points are virtual, have no monetary value, cannot be purchased, and cannot be exchanged for cash or prizes. This is not gambling and involves no real-money wagering. Predictions are informational and for entertainment only. Players should be 18+.

Streaming guide

How to watch England vs Croatia

Check official viewing options before England vs Croatia. Availability can vary by country and broadcaster.

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